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The predictive performance of this rating is comparable to those for established multifactorial threat algorithms for cardiovascular disease, such as the Framingham risk score. In this paper we present lessons discovered in the Evaluating Predictive Uncertainty Challenge. We describe the strategies we used in regression challenges, together with our winning technique for the Outaouais information set. We then turn our attention to the extra basic downside of scoring in probabilistic machine learning challenges. It is extensively accepted that scoring guidelines ought to be correct... Read more

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